Why the Bond Market May Be the Stock Market's Biggest Risk
With US 10-Year Treasury yields climbing this week to the highest level since 2007, the bond market may be the biggest risk to further equity gains, says Tony Pasquariello, global head of hedge fund coverage in Goldman Sachs FICC and Equities. Shorting bonds could be a useful
hedge for stock investments, he says on The Markets podcast. S&P 500 earnings growth, meanwhile, has been “mind-bending,” helping to keep valuations from becoming stretched, Pasquariello says. However, the increase in earnings may begin to taper off, and US stock returns may slow from their double-digit annual pace. He also sees opportunities in Japan’s TOPIX, as the country’s equity market gets a boost from shareholder reforms and government spending on defense and industrialization.
Watch more from Tony Pasquariello on The Breaks of the Game. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCbDQh2GokQ
Filmed on September 23, 2026.
The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs.
A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other
person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs.
© 2026 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved.
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hedge for stock investments, he says on The Markets podcast. S&P 500 earnings growth, meanwhile, has been “mind-bending,” helping to keep valuations from becoming stretched, Pasquariello says. However, the increase in earnings may begin to taper off, and US stock returns may slow from their double-digit annual pace. He also sees opportunities in Japan’s TOPIX, as the country’s equity market gets a boost from shareholder reforms and government spending on defense and industrialization.
Watch more from Tony Pasquariello on The Breaks of the Game. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCbDQh2GokQ
Filmed on September 23, 2026.
The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs.
A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other
person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs.
© 2026 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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