Bits + Bips: Is Kalshi Headed to the Supreme Court Next?

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A Ninth Circuit panel ruled 3-0 that Nevada can enforce its gambling laws against Kalshi's sports contracts, directly conflicting with an April ruling that put Kalshi under CFTC oversight instead.

Andy Ross, Head of Institutional at Kalshi, joins the panel to make the case that prediction markets are nothing like sportsbooks, that Kalshi wants its winners to keep winning, and that its fastest-growing customers are not hedge funds but ice cream shops, kayak renters, and boat charter operators hedging ordinary business risk.

Hosts:

Austin Campbell - Host of Bits + Bips, Founder of Zero Knowledge Group, and Adjunct Professor at NYU Stern

Ram Ahluwalia - Co-host of Bits + Bips and CEO of Lumida

Chris Perkins - Co-host of Bits + Bips and Head of Franklin Crypto

Guest:

Andy Ross - Head of Institutional at Kalshi

This clip is from a longer conversation on Kalshi's clash with state regulators over prediction markets. Full episode here: https://youtu.be/c5qwxUlaKQ4?si=9vIZPp0imIyuJIs3

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Chapters:

⚖️ 00:20 Ninth Circuit rules 3-0 that Nevada can enforce gambling law against Kalshi

🎯 02:16 Andy on why prediction markets are not sportsbooks

🏛️ 04:44 Chris asks whether the CFTC believes it has federal preemption

🍦 06:21 Andy on ice cream shops, kayak renters, and boat charters hedging with Kalshi

📊 08:10 Ram asks where Kalshi's real trading volume actually comes from

🔬 09:21 Andy unveils Kalshi's 2.2 million-data-point calibration study
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